Pierre-Simon Laplace (1749-1827) is remembered amoung probabilitists today particularly for his "Theorie analytique des probabilites", published in 1812. The "Essai philosophique dur les probabilites" is his introduction for the second edition of this work. Here Laplace provided a popular exposition on his "Theorie". The "Essai", based on a lecture on probability given by Lapla...(展开全部)

This classic introduces the concepts and uses of probability theory. It demonstrates, without the use of higher mathematics, the application of probability to games of chance, physics, reliability of witnesses, astronomy, insurance, democratic government, and many other areas. It also shows how scientists can express complex ideas in simple terms.

P.S.拉普拉斯，法国著名的数学家、力学家和天文学家。拉普拉斯是天体力学的主要奠基人、天体演化学的创立者之一、分析概率论的创始人以及应用数学的先驱。他最具代表性的著作有《天体力学》、《宇宙体系论》和《概率的分析理论》。拉普拉斯在研究天体问题的过程中，创造和发展了许多数学方法，以他的名字命名的拉普拉斯变换、拉普拉斯定理和拉普拉斯方程，在科学技术的各个领域有着广泛的应用。 拉普拉斯对于概率论有很大的贡献，他把自己在概率论上的发现以及前人的所有发现统归一处。我们耳熟能详的那些名词，诸如随机变量、数字特征、特征函数和中心极限定理等都是由他引入或者改进的。 拉普拉斯卒于1827年。据说，他的最后一句话是，“我们知道的甚少，不知道的甚广。”

布莱恩·奥康纳（Brian O’Connor），当代社会哲学家，爱尔兰都柏林大学学院哲学教授，毕业于牛津大学哲学系，曾在剑桥大学做过访问学者，著有《德国唯心主义选集与导读》《闲散的哲学》《阿多诺与消极辩证法》

斯坦利·罗森（1929-2014），美国波士顿大学荣休教授，著名哲学家。师从施特劳斯和科耶夫，其关注点为哲学的基本问题，以及哲学史上从柏拉图到海德格尔等里程碑式的人物。主要代表作有：《柏拉图的<会饮>》、《虚无主义：哲学反思》、《柏拉图<理想国>新解》、《启蒙的面具：读<查拉图斯特拉如是说>》、《存在之问：颠转海德格尔》、《诗与哲学之争》等。 译者马津，中山大学国际翻译学院讲师。分别于2000年、2005年和2012年获得中山大学外国语学院英语语言文学专业学士、硕士和博士学位，2011年获得法国让∙莫兰里昂第三大学跨文化研究博士学位。研究方向为当代西方批评理论和跨文化研究。

This book is designed to explain the technical ideas that are taken for granted in much contemporary philosophical writing. Notions like "denumerability," "modal scope distinction," "Bayesian conditionalization," and "logical completeness" are usually only elucidated deep within difficult specialist texts. By offering simple explanations that by-pass much irrelevant and boring ...(展开全部)

This book is designed to explain the technical ideas that are taken for granted in much contemporary philosophical writing. Notions like "denumerability," "modal scope distinction," "Bayesian conditionalization," and "logical completeness" are usually only elucidated deep within difficult specialist texts. By offering simple explanations that by-pass much irrelevant and boring ...(展开全部)

本书为公版书，为不受著作权法限制的作家、艺术家及其它人士发布的作品，供广大读者阅读交流。汇聚授权电子版权。

This translation uses the text of the original 1753 edition. It also includes additions made by Laugier for the edition of 1755 as well as the Avertissement for that edition, which contains Laugier's rebuttal to his critics. An introduction by Wolfgang Herrmann gives details of Laugier's life and the context in which this book was written. The Essai is important as a key docume...(展开全部)

Eric Gill's opinionated manifesto on typography argues that 'a good piece of lettering is as beautiful a thing to see as any sculpture or painted picture'. This essay explores the place of typography in culture and is also a moral treatise celebrating the role of craftsmanship in an industrial age. Gill, a sculptor, engraver, printmaker and creator of many classic typefaces tha...(展开全部)